Tuesday, September 27, 2005

Update: TOMO


Green arrow is my buy point.

Open

The Nasdaq and Russell 2000 have been lagging the Dow in the recent runup, which is definitely bearish. Also the volume on the up days are lighter that is not helping the bullish case either. Even though I see some momentum plays are jumping, I say be patient. Don't get trapped.

HOMS

It was brought up over MSN yesterday and was featured in my newsletter again.

Monday, September 26, 2005

Update: TOMO

This is the 3rd day on the rise. I would start to take profit.

Open

The market is bouncing due to the various reasons. One is oversold condition, another is less severe hurricane Rita. I am still holding most of cash, since we are still at the sell signal.

Friday, September 23, 2005

Trading record

September trading record is just updated. Please notice that I had lots of small loss this week and I come up a conclusion after that: the market turned soft on September 13th, why did I bother trading since then? If I shut down the computer on that date, I would have avoided all these small losses. And that is what I am going to test in the future. When my indicators say the market is not in a friendly environment, I would just close my positions, shut down my computer and get away.

KONG

A loose triangle base breaking out, I brought it up this morning over MSN. And it is in the same group with TOMO. Comparing two, I prefter TOMO though.

Green

The major averages just turn geen across the board. I picked some long positions, just a little, to test the water.

Still cautious

The market is oversold, trying very hard to bounce. We may see green this afternoon, but I still remain cautious. We are definitely not out of woods yet.

Thursday, September 22, 2005

TOMO


Buy was triggered in the morning, I brought it up over MSN.

Small bounce

After two days' selloffs, the market tries to bounce a little. Notice that the Nasdaq and the Russell 2000 are both lagging. I would feel much more comfortable if they are leading the rebound. Anyway, time is still early, keep your powder dry.

Wednesday, September 21, 2005

Caution

I think it is wise to take ALL THE MONEY off the table right now. Longs certainly don't look good, that is what I am going to do.

Update: semiconductors


The sox is right on the support now. Any further weakness will lead to melt down on the Nasdaq.

Wait

I am currently on the sideline waiting. We have a splitting market right here: the general market is weak while momentum stocks are holding well, the names like GOOG, CME. So I want to see who is going to be the winner before I make a bet.

Tuesday, September 20, 2005

CME

It was in my newsletter two days ago, breaking out big time today.

Open

The market is trying to reverse yesterday's selloff. Though it looks promising right now, I would not pull the trigger until the Fed's decision.

Monday, September 19, 2005

Update: AAPL

AAPL is approaching my $55 quickly.

Oil bouncing off support


That is why the general market is so weak.

TOL

Homebuilders

You know that I have been bearish on homebuilders for some time now, that is what I said on Sep 8th
http://uclatrader.blogspot.com/2005/09/tol.html
all homebuilders are getting sold now.

Update: PSYS


PSYS continues its uptrend.

Update: AMGN


Facing market weakness, AMGN hangs tough.

Saturday, September 17, 2005

Some thoughts for the weekend

In the September issue of SFO, trader Thomas N. Bulkowski has an article "lessons learned after 25 years of trading". Mr Bulkowski is the author of "encyclopedia of chart patterns", which I think lots of investors already read it. Honestly, I bought the book, but never finish it. Not because it is not useful, because it is too long, it has too much statistics in it, he made technical analysis too complicated.

But I love this article of his, he is right on and he made his points in a straight way. Here I enclose the points I also think they make sense.

1. use stops to limit losses
2. let profits run
3. buy near the yearly high
4. trade with trend
5. ignore news

For the detail of his article, please go to newsstand to get a copy. In conclusion, very insightful for the still-struggling traders.

September trading record

September trading record has been just updated.

Friday, September 16, 2005

HOMS


After I recommended it in my newsletter, it rallied nicely.

Closing

As I said in the previous blog, banking index holding the support is a bullish sign. Its strong close may signal the recent pullback is not going to be severe and that is what the bulls like to see.

SMTS


It has been in my newsletter for couple of days too, now it is breaking out today.

Morning

The market is in pullback mode, which means I hold most cash and watch from the sideline. Speculative Nasdaq and Russell 2000 are both lagging the Dow, though it may change anytime.

Thursday, September 15, 2005

Update: PSYS


PSYS is challenging the high after successfully testing the support.

MEDI

It has been featured in my newsletter couple of times this week. It is breaking out today. I mentioned in over MSN again this morning.

Update: crude oil


So far crude oil is holding support.

Wednesday, September 14, 2005

This is ugly

This is an ugly day. Momentum stocks are getting crushed. Now I feel pretty good about taking profit earlier this week. Add, trim, add, trim.

KNOT

It has been featured in my newsletter for couple of days, today it breaks out.

Brokerage at work

I am just astonished by the brokerage power. Look at BIDU. For the small investors, we are like small fish, they are sharks. Hard to get any food from them.

Tuesday, September 13, 2005

Tonight's newsletter

Tonight's newsletter is going to be late. So if you are from east coast, probably you'd better check your email box first thing tomorrow morning. For the subscribers at west coast, you will receive it by midnight.

Update: NVDA


NVDA is still climbing.

AMTD

I recommended AMTD back in July at 19, and recommended it again two days ago over MSN, now approaching to my 1st target at 22.45.

Banks


So far I don't like what I see in the bank index. It looks like it is going to test the previous support at 96.5. We need financial to hold there, if the bulls want to have some action towards to the year end.

Resting

Like I said in last night's newsletter, I expect some weakness in the next couple of day, which is very healthy for the bulls.

Monday, September 12, 2005

CTRP


CTRP is mentioned this morning over MSN.

Update: crude oil


Crude oil is at key support. If it can't hold, it would go to $57/barrel. Very bullish for the equity market.

REDF


It was a new pick in my newsletter last night.

Update: GOOG

I would trim some GOOG at 306 as well.

Update: NTES

I would trim some NTES right here at 80.8 area.

Update: BIDU

I would close my BIDU position right here right now at 110 area.

Sunday, September 11, 2005

Sample newsletter

Hello traders,

The rally continues. All of my recent picks are in solid green, some of them are rewarding our subscribers nicely. I don't suggest chasing the ones already on the move, like BRCM, NVDA, FLSH, PDLI, AAPL,etc, if traders have not got them yet. Please focus on the ones just added to the list.

Now go to major averages and some individual movers.

Good luck and see you guys at http://uclatrader.blogspot.com/

UCLATRADER




D I S C L A I M E R -This newsletter is a publication dedicated to the education of online stock traders. The newsletter is an information service only. The information provided herein is not to be construed as an offer to buy or sell stocks of any kind. The newsletter selections are not to be considered a recommendation to buy any stock but to aid the investor in making an informed decision based on technical analysis. It is possible at this or some subsequent date, the editors of uclatrader.blogspot., may own, buy or sell stocks presented. All investors should consult a qualified professional before trading any stock. The information provided has been obtained from sources deemed reliable but is not guaranteed as to accuracy or completeness. uclatrader.blogspot.com staff make every effort to provide timely information to subscribers but cannot guarantee specific delivery times due to factors beyond our control. COPYRIGHT NOTICE -All material in the web site uclatrader.blogspot.com and its newsletter are protected under copyright laws of the United States. You may not reproduce, post or transmit, in anyway, any part of this letter or any material in the web site, without prior written notarized consent of the author






These are only four out of over a dozen of long candidates. Want to find out more of newly added picks, please email me for the free two week trial.

Saturday, September 10, 2005

Past trades for Sep, 05

bot bidu @ 83.52, sold @ 95, net 14%
bot bidu @ 83.52, sold @ 96.6, net 16%
bot bidu @ 83.98, sold @ 89.5, net 7%
-------------------------------------------------
bot aapl @ 47.29, sold @ 48.45, net 2%
bot usna @ 52.44, sold @ 51.68, net (1%)
bot dna @ 93.36, sold @ 93.12, net (0%)
bot cutr @ 24.05, sold @ 25.3, net 5%
bot vign @ 15.54, sold @ 15.34, net (1%)
bot uthr @ 72.85, sold @ 72, net (1%)
bot redf @ 13.34, sold @ 14.64, net 10%
bot emms @ 24.37, sold @ 24.06, net (1%)
bot ntes @ 81.68, sold @ 83.64, net 2%
bot ntes @ 72.42, sold @ 80.78, net 12%
bot ctrp @61, sold @ 62.41, net 2%
bot lm @ 109.6, sold @ 108.5, net (1%)
bot pact @ 7.9, sold @ 7.84, net (1%)
bot bidu @ 115.83, sold @ 119.85, net 3%
bot bidu @ 119.04, sold @ 122.05, net 3%
bot knot @ 10.25, sold @ 11.27, net 10%
bot usna @ 53.31, sold @ 52.73, net (1%)
-----------------------------------------------
bot efji @ 9.67, sold @ 9.24, net (4%)
bot homs @ 4.1, sold @ 4.07, net (1%)
bot medi @ 30.49, sold @ 30.4, net (0%)
bot pwav @ 12.47, sold @ 12.23, net (2%)
bot goog @ 305.95, sold @ 304.85, net (0%)
bot eslr @ 8.18, sold @ 7.84, net (4%)
bot ntes @ 77.75, sold @ 81.88, net 5%
bot tomo @ 16.81, sold @ 17.55, net 4%
bot tomo @ 17.8, sold @17.9, net 1%
bot goog @ 312.65, sold @ 314.54, net 1%
bot lm @ 108.725, sold @ 108.67, net (0%)
-----------------------------------------------
bot tomo @ 17.8, sold @ 18.84, net 6%
bot mnta @ 29.46, sold @ 31.8, net 8%
bot amln @ 31.5, sold @ 33.41, net 6%
bot ntri @ 24.3, sold @ 23.71, net (2%)
bot mnta @ 29.69, sold @ 28.86, net (3%)
bot homs @ 4.35, sold @ 4.15, net (5%)
bot lm @ 110, sold @109.8, net (1%)
bot redf @ 14.09, sold @ 13.9, net (1%)
bot hawk @ 14.12, sold @ 14.3, net 1%
bot redf @ 15.18, sold @ 17.9, net 18%

Friday, September 9, 2005

Update: BRCM


BRCM acting as predicted, sweet.

Quick update on BIDU

I am trimming some of my BIDU shares here, next target 95, then 100.

UTHR

UTHR is breaking out today, I brought it up over MSN this morning.

Update: NTES

NTES is approaching my 1st target as well. Longer term, a lot higher, I think.

Update: BIDU


BIDU is approaching my first target beautifully.

Update: AMGN

AMGN still climbing, now approaching to the old high.

Semiconductors

I am little bit cautious this morning, since the Nasdaq does not get boost from upbeat TXN mid quarter updates. Traders were optimistic about the strength of TXN and INTC last night, and expected a big run up. But now the Nasdaq is lagging the Dow, up just tiny 3 pts. The stock does not perform as it is supposed to do, which always gets me concerned.

Don't get me wrong, overall I am still bullish on this market. I am just getting nervous a little.

Thursday, September 8, 2005

TOL

TOL is just one of the homebuilders that show weakness. Avoid, or even start some shorts.

Update: semiconductors


Semiconductor index is following biotechs, breaking up the small consolidation.

Crude oil


$63 is the key. If it drops below that price, it will be very bullish for the general market.

PSYS


Breakout out today, it was featured in my newsletter two days ago.

Update: NVDA


Stop is raised to 29.7, target now 36.

Update: AAPL first target met


50 is hit today, next target 55.

Wednesday, September 7, 2005

GOOG

Buy signal triggered at 290 intraday.

Past trades for August, 05

http://uclatrader.blogspot.com/2005/08/
past-trades-for-week-august-1st.html

http://uclatrader.blogspot.com/2005/08/
past-trades-for-week-august-8th.html

http://uclatrader.blogspot.com/2005/08/
past-trades-for-week-august-15th.html

http://uclatrader.blogspot.com/2005/08/
past-trades-for-week-august-22nd.html

http://uclatrader.blogspot.com/2005/09/
past-trades-for-week-august-29th.html

Past trades for July, 05

http://uclatrader.blogspot.com/2005/07/
past-trades-for-week-july-5th.html

http://uclatrader.blogspot.com/2005/07/
past-trades-for-week-july-11th.html

http://uclatrader.blogspot.com/2005/07/
past-trades-for-week-july-18th.html

http://uclatrader.blogspot.com/2005/07/
past-trades-for-week-july-25th.html

Past trades for June, 05

http://uclatrader.blogspot.com/2005/06/
past-trades-for-week-june-6th.html

http://uclatrader.blogspot.com/2005/06/
past-trades-for-week-june-20th.html

http://uclatrader.blogspot.com/2005/07/
past-trades-for-week-june-27th.html

Past trades for May, 05

http://uclatrader.blogspot.com/2005/05/
past-trades-for-week-may-2nd.html

http://uclatrader.blogspot.com/2005/05/
past-trades-for-week-may-16th.html

http://uclatrader.blogspot.com/2005/05/
past-trades-for-week-may-23rd.html

http://uclatrader.blogspot.com/2005/06/
past-trades-for-week-may-31st.html

Past trades for April, 05

http://uclatrader.blogspot.com/2005/04/
past-trades-for-week-april-4th.html

http://uclatrader.blogspot.com/2005/04/
past-trades-for-week-41105.html

http://uclatrader.blogspot.com/2005/04/
past-trades-for-week-april-18th.html

http://uclatrader.blogspot.com/2005/04/
past-trades-for-week-april-25th.html

Past trades for March, 05

http://uclatrader.blogspot.com/2005/04/past-trades-for-week-march-27th.html

Update: NVDA

NVDA continues to shine.

NTES

I suggested buying it over MSN this morning.

VIGN


I mentioned it this morning over MSN.

Tuesday, September 6, 2005

Update: AAPL

FWRD


It was featured in my newsletter last week.

Update: ABGX

Update: biotech

I think biotech has the upside room to 700 area.

Update: PDLI



I would take partial profit at $30 area.

Sunday, September 4, 2005

Past trades for the week August 29th

bot usna @ 52.5, sold @ 51.69, net (2%)

Friday, September 2, 2005

Holiday

The market is slow before holiday, I am going to give myself a break today.

Thursday, September 1, 2005

Buy signal

The biotech index continues to outperform since I showed its chart couple days ago. Please notice that all my long candidates listed this morning are small cap biotechs. Yesterday we had early buy signal across the board that includes the semiconductor index and the Nasdaq as well. Now I am longing the market with short time frame.

ABGX

Another pick from last night breaks out today.

PDLI

It was featured in my newsletter couple of times last week, today it breaks out.

GERN

It was featured in my newsletter last night.