Wednesday, August 31, 2005
The strength of Biotech
I am surprised and encouraged by the strength of the biotech index. If this pullback is over, it will be the place I am going to park my money at.
Open
The major averages quickly sink to the lows, 2110 on the Nasdaq is my bottom line. I will look for longs if it holds.
Tuesday, August 30, 2005
Update: crude oil
Monday, August 29, 2005
Semiconductors
Morning
I don't really trust this morning's bounce. Time is still early, the strength could be gone by mid day.
Saturday, August 27, 2005
Past trades for the week August 22nd
bot isrg @ 73.52, sold @ 75.71, net 3%
bot nvda @ 29.42, sold @ 28.95, net (2%)
bot wssi @ 15.45, sold @ 17.65, net 14%
bot itwo @ 23,17, sold @ 21.8, net (6%)
bot itwo @ 23.17, sold @ 23.21, net 0%
bot amzn @ 45.21, sold @ 43.4, net (4%)
bot isrg @ 76.17, sold @ 78.02, net 2%
bot bidu @ 77.07, sold @ 75.87, net (2%)
bot bidu @ 78.9, sold @ 83.13, net 5%
bot ctty @ 16.46, sold @ 18.25, net 11%
bot nvda @ 29.42, sold @ 28.95, net (2%)
bot wssi @ 15.45, sold @ 17.65, net 14%
bot itwo @ 23,17, sold @ 21.8, net (6%)
bot itwo @ 23.17, sold @ 23.21, net 0%
bot amzn @ 45.21, sold @ 43.4, net (4%)
bot isrg @ 76.17, sold @ 78.02, net 2%
bot bidu @ 77.07, sold @ 75.87, net (2%)
bot bidu @ 78.9, sold @ 83.13, net 5%
bot ctty @ 16.46, sold @ 18.25, net 11%
Friday, August 26, 2005
Thursday, August 25, 2005
Sentiment
The market continues its weakness with lack of interest. The good news is we have growing bears. According to AAII, bearish percentage is now at 25%.
Wednesday, August 24, 2005
Financials
Morning
The market is still on the weak side, I guess we will not see any real action until after the Labor Day.
Tuesday, August 23, 2005
Update: ISRG
Monday, August 22, 2005
Retreat
This morning's rebound met heavy selling again. Now we have red across the board. The bulls are surely disappointed.
Crude oil
Check out the article at http://carlfutia.blogspot.com/2005/08/running-on-empty.html. It makes perfect sense. But for me to be bearish on crude, I would wait it to come down below $63. Right now? It looks like a perfect upside breakout.
Bounce
As I pointed out on Friday, the charts still look ok even though we have been in pullback mode for weeks. This morning we get a stronger bounce. It is still early to call that we have seen the bottom, but this strength is certainly welcome and good for the bulls.
http://uclatrader.blogspot.com/2005/08/update-semiconductors_19.html
http://uclatrader.blogspot.com/2005/08/update-biotech.html
http://uclatrader.blogspot.com/2005/08/update-semiconductors_19.html
http://uclatrader.blogspot.com/2005/08/update-biotech.html
Saturday, August 20, 2005
Past trades for the week August 15th
bot bobj @ 33.45, sold @ 32.9, net (2%)
bot mnta @ 23.61, sold @ 28, net 19%
bot ctty @ 14.33, sold @ 16.5, net 15%
bot ctty @ 20.14, sold @ 16.5, net (18%)
bot mnta @ 23.61, sold @ 28, net 19%
bot ctty @ 14.33, sold @ 16.5, net 15%
bot ctty @ 20.14, sold @ 16.5, net (18%)
Friday, August 19, 2005
Update: biotech
Wednesday, August 17, 2005
Weak bounce
The market is trying to recover a bit from yesterday's selloff. So far it does not impress me.
Tuesday, August 16, 2005
Bulls are getting tested
With major averages at the lows of the day, my short term bullishness is getting tested.
Splitting market
Semis on the downside, banks holding well, who is going to win? My fingers are crossed.
Monday, August 15, 2005
Trend change?
With BKX, SOX, BTK all bounce today, with the breakouts I see across the board, I think I could say the short term pullback may be near the end. I turn to short term bullish.
Open
The market is still in a downtrend, even though some individual stocks are showing some early strength.
Saturday, August 13, 2005
Past trades for the week August 8th
bot homs @ 3.79, sold @ 4.02, net 6%
bot pact @ 8.67, sold @ 8.4, net (3%)
bot isrg @ 72.3, sold @ 71.62, net (1%)
bot shoo @ 23.32, sold @ 23.39, net 0%
bot boom @ 44.22, sold @ 45.3, net 2%
bot pact @ 8.67, sold @ 8.4, net (3%)
bot isrg @ 72.3, sold @ 71.62, net (1%)
bot shoo @ 23.32, sold @ 23.39, net 0%
bot boom @ 44.22, sold @ 45.3, net 2%
Friday, August 12, 2005
Open
The market continues its slide. The only bright spot I can find is the China related stocks, like NTES, SINA, SNDA. I think the rising value is related to the investment Yahoo made on Alibaba, which seems pretty pricy and makes other Chinese company look cheap suddenly.
http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/050811/china_yahoo_alibaba.html?.v=22
http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/050811/china_yahoo_alibaba.html?.v=22
Thursday, August 11, 2005
bearish
This morning's tiny bounce does not change my bearish stance. Other than that, nothing new to report.
Wednesday, August 10, 2005
Tuesday, August 9, 2005
Monday, August 8, 2005
Retreat
Sunday, August 7, 2005
Past trades for the week August 1st
bot ford @ 23.2, sold @ 27.58, net 19%
bot ford @ 25.34, sold @ 27.58, net 9%
bot crm @ 23.6, sold @ 22.87, net (2%)
bot aapl @ 44.03, sold @ 43.31, net (2%)
bot cnet @ 12.12, sold @ 12.85, net 6%
bot iiji @ 10.66, sold @ 10.33, net (3%)
bot ebay @ 43.41, sold @ 44.18, net 2%
bot amzn @ 46.22, sold @ 45.28, net (2%)
bot cymi @ 35.49, sold @ 35.36, net (0%)
bot able @ 18.22, sold @ 17.91, net (2%)
bot ford @ 25.34, sold @ 27.58, net 9%
bot crm @ 23.6, sold @ 22.87, net (2%)
bot aapl @ 44.03, sold @ 43.31, net (2%)
bot cnet @ 12.12, sold @ 12.85, net 6%
bot iiji @ 10.66, sold @ 10.33, net (3%)
bot ebay @ 43.41, sold @ 44.18, net 2%
bot amzn @ 46.22, sold @ 45.28, net (2%)
bot cymi @ 35.49, sold @ 35.36, net (0%)
bot able @ 18.22, sold @ 17.91, net (2%)
Friday, August 5, 2005
Financials
Thursday, August 4, 2005
Update: BOOM
Wednesday, August 3, 2005
Tuesday, August 2, 2005
Monday, August 1, 2005
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