Saturday, July 30, 2005

Past trades for the week July 25th

bot recn @ 30.23, sold @ 29.64, net (2%)
bot gnss @ 25.09, sold @ 24.81, net (1%)
bot chtt @ 46.96, sold @ 45.95, net (2%)
bot amgn @ 81.76, sold @ 81.03, net (1%)
bot boom @ 42.29, sold @ 41.5, net (2%)
bot ntes @ 59, sold @ @ 58.92, net (0%)

Friday, July 29, 2005

ECOL


ECOL breaks out today.

AMMD


AMMD was featured in my newsletter, green arrow was my buy pt.

Update: CHTT


Another one that had a good pattern, but disappointed me badly.

Update: BOOM

Another example, just sit and sit.

Update: ABLE


Without a good eaning, after a fake break earlier this week, it just sits there.

Banking index

Update: CNET


CNET looks fair as well.

Update: FORD

FORD continues its strong uptrend.

Frustration

Yesterday I wanted to write a column about my recent frustration, but I could not find the answer, so I stopped. Today over MSN, one of my subscribers expressed his confusion and some disappointment. I now go back to dig my recent picks, and discover why my strategy has an above average failure rate this couple of weeks: the market is rewarding the companies that have come out good earning numbers, the ones have not are getting sold. Some of my picks had a great looking chart pattern, the overall market looks great, the stock price is just getting hammered after the fake breakout, because they don't have the fundamental news to support it yet. At the mean time, traders are rushing into the ones with confirmation from both technical and fundamental.

If any readers have been done very well or caught some great market movers this couple of week, please respond. Maybe there are more reasons behind my frustration.

Thursday, July 28, 2005

Update: AMED



It looks like it will resume its uptrend.

CRM



It has been featured in my newsletter for some days now. Finally breaking out today.

Wednesday, July 27, 2005

Open

The market is just hanging there. With some more time, it will work off the overbought condition, which could be a bullish development.

Tuesday, July 26, 2005

CNET



I can't find many setups to buy recently. CNET is the only one this morning and it has been featured in my newsletter for several time, it finally breaks up today. I will try some here, very cautiously.

Open

The market gets a little bounce this morning, I think traders should use this mini rally to get out some longs.

Monday, July 25, 2005

Semi

Biotech

I expect 580-590 area will give support.

Pullback

The market finally started its pullback today, some speculative small plays are getting sold, stocks like CTTY, DSTI, but look at AMGN, EBAY, they are only down less than $0.5. Keep an eye on these leaders. They will tell us when the market will turn higher.

FORD

Monring

The market just does not want to go down. After a briefing weakness, once again it turns to green. Wow.

Sunday, July 24, 2005

Weekly commentary

I remain bullish going into next week, even though I think a brief pause of recent rally is highly possible. We're in the middle of earnings season. Companies with good news are being rewarded with higher stock prices, while companies which disappoint are being punished. This indicates a normal, healthy market. With that in mind, I would think the pullback as an buying opportunity.

Saturday, July 23, 2005

Past trades for the week July 18th

bot ango @ 25.91, sold @ 25, net (4%)
bot iiji @ 9.55, sold @ 10.26, net 7%
bot ckcm @ 23.94, sold @ 26.8, net 12%
bot dsti @ 16.38, sold @ 16.08, net (2%)
bot geoi @ 15.37, sold @ 14.6, net (5%)
bot mcri @ 25.5, sold @ 26.27, net 3%
bot asca @ 28.92, sold @ 28.34, net (2%)
bot plab @ 26.25, sold @ 26.88, net 2%
bot idbe @ 19.6, sold @ 20.5, net 5%
bot goog @ 310.6, sold @ 299, net (4%)
bot cme @ 302.1, sold @ 309.2, net 2%

Friday, July 22, 2005

Biotech


It offers us a good opportunity to get in some of the favorite names.

Open

This morning the bright spot is at semiconductor sector. The other sectors are experiencing the brief profit taking. I still think we have a little more downside to work with in the coming week. I am feeling pretty down today as I stopped out my GOOG position at lower prices yesterday. Even though I know I am generally pretty good at trading, I can still feel my stupidity sometimes. So less blogging probably today as I recharge myself.

Thursday, July 21, 2005

IDBE


A winner from last night's newsletter.

CME


CME is trying to breakout the range.

Open

The market open weaker this morning. I have been saying in newsletter that we might see a pause short term, due to at resistance and too much optimism. Today it might finally start.

Wednesday, July 20, 2005

Update: CVTX

Update: KERX


KERX has been steadily climbing up since it broke up the resistance last week.

CKCM

I mentioned it over MSN yesterday at $24.

Update: ENCY

Open

We have a split market this morning, biotechs on the rise, semiconductors and internet are on the downside. I am closing some long positions this morning.

Tuesday, July 19, 2005

ENCY


I recommended it last week, it has a nice continuation today.

ANGO



After an upgrade, ANGO is selling off. I don't like its action so far, so I would suggest to cut the position at least half before it touches my stop at $24.5.

GOOG

GOOG on the move again. YHOO's earning is the key.

Strong open

We got a boost from IBM's strong earning. Technology is leading the rally once again. Some momentum money is rotating out of biotechs, into semiconductors and interent.

Monday, July 18, 2005

KERX


One of my picks from last night's newsletter. More upside ahead.

IIJI

DSTI

Slow day

It has been a slow day so far. Can we see some strength towards to the close? I am sticking with my bullish stance and seeing this weakness as buying opportunity.

Open

This morning Citi's miss triggers some profit taking. So far the pullback is minimal, and I don't see any damage yet.

Sunday, July 17, 2005

Announcement

I am going to raise the subscribing fees for both gold and platinum service at end of July, to $40/month and $120/month, respectively. This fee change DOES NOT apply to the current members. To lock in the current rate, please act now by signing up.

Weekly commentary

I remain bullish this week, even though the market is mildly overbought. Some profit taking along the way would not be surprising. Remember, overall trend is up. Once the trend is formed, the market is very likely following its path for a longer period of time than people expect. This long trend is supported by the good fundamental news, which includes good inflation data last week. The core CPI has been up a negligible 0%, 0.1%, and 0.1% over the past three months. With the earning season off to start, I expect the market will respond well to the upside surprises.

Saturday, July 16, 2005

Past trades for the week July 11th

bot gnss @ 19.76, sold @ 20.7, net 5%
bot amtd @ 18.8, sold @ 18.77, net (0%)
bot cnet @ 11.98, sold @ 11.95, net (0%)
bot dna @ 84.25, sold @ 84.2, net (0%)
bot psys @ 49.53, sold @ 48.93, net (1%)
bot pwav @ 10.55, sold @ 11.17, net 6%
bot gnss @ 20.66, sold @ 20.54, net (1%)
bot boom @ 44.7, sold @ 44.37, net (1%)
bot talx @ 33.41, sold @ 34.8, net 4%
bot amtd @ 19.28, sold @ 18.99, net (2%)
bot dna @ 84.8, sold @ 86.72, net 2%
bot mnta @ 20.45, sold @ 23.49, net 15%
bot cme @ 292.22, sold @ 299.35, net 2%
bot pssi @ 13.35, sold @ 13.16, net (1%)
bot cvtx @ 25.45, sold @ 27, net 6%
bot ppdi @ 55.4, sold @ 57.35, net 4%

Friday, July 15, 2005

Update: MNTA

I would take profit on MNTA right here.

Update: MNTA

Update: CVTX

Update

The market opened weaker today, which is expected to work off the overbought condition and looks like a normal pullback. I would add some more positions using this weakness.

Thursday, July 14, 2005

Update: DNA


DNA continues its uptrend after it broke out $85 two days ago. Posted by Picasa

PPDI


Time to take some profit off the table, strictly daytrading. Posted by Picasa

MNTA


One of my picks from three or four days ago. Posted by Picasa

PSSI


It was featured in my last night's newsletter. Posted by Picasa

Open

The market opened strong across the board. I wish I had more to report, but I am out of words to describe the current market, but bullish.

Wednesday, July 13, 2005

Per request: FUEL


First of all, I would not pick this one at first place. Too many whipsaws, hard to make a profit. Since you already longed it, i guess you might sit through it with smaller loss or even small profit. Posted by Picasa

Update: crude oil


Crude oil is still sitting at resistance. How much impact will $60 plus oil have on the equity market? A hot market like this, I would say not much. Posted by Picasa

Update: BKX index


After a fake breakdown, financials are breaking out to the upside, which is very bullish for the general market. Posted by Picasa

Updat: TALX


Posted by Picasa

Update: CTRP


One more reason you should never let the breakout play go back to its trading range. Stop out at $54. Posted by Picasa

Open

As I said in the newsletter, we are overbought. This morning we can Nasdaq is leading us to cool off a bit. I don't think this pause will be big or long.

Tuesday, July 12, 2005

Chart BOOM


Posted by Picasa

Update: BOOM

I have difficulty upload the new chart. But whenever I see this type of candlestick, I sell at least half of the shares.

TALX


I brought it up over MSN @ 33.4 this morning. Posted by Picasa